LUB vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 23, 2021 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Krzysztof Buczkowski0 00
- 10Grigorij Laguta1 3 1 2 310
- 11Jarosław Hampel3 0 2 u5
- 12Dominik Kubera2 2 1 2 310+2
- 13Mikkel Michelsen1 3 3 0 18+1
- 14Wiktor Lampart3 3 0 3 211
- 15Mateusz Cierniak1 2 0 1 15+1
- 1Kacper Woryna2 0 02
- 2Bartosz Smektała0 1 2 3 28+1
- 3Fredrik Lindgren1 1 2 3 07+1
- 4Jonas Jeppesen0 3 1 1 05+1
- 5Leon Madsen3 2 3 3 1 214
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak0 2 02
- 7Bartłomiej Kowalski2 1 W3+1
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · CZE2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1*
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE0
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · CZE1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Bartosz Smektała · CZE2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Jonas Jeppesen · CZE0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 6 → 5 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h NW
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LUB | CZE | LUB | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 4.5 | 11 | +6.5 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 6.5 | 10 | +3.5 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 13.1 | 14 | +0.9 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 5.0 | 5 | -0.0 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 3 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 9.9 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Kacper Woryna | 3 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.2 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 5 | 8.2 | 5 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.