GRU vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 23, 2021 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 2 2 010
- 10Kenneth Bjerre2 2 1 1 06+2
- 11Norbert Krakowiak0 0 3 25
- 12Przemysław PawlickiW 1 2 1 37+2
- 13Nicki Pedersen2 2 3 3 111
- 14Mateusz Bartkowiak3 1 04+1
- 15Denis Zieliński1 0 12+1
- 1Dan Bewley2 1 0 0 14+1
- 2Maciej Janowski3 3 3 3 214+1
- 3Gleb Chugunov1 2 1 2 28+3
- 4Artem Laguta3 3 2 3 314
- 5Tai WoffindenU0
- 6Przemysław Liszka0 0 1 1 02
- 7Michał Curzytek2 0 0 02
Heat by heat
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU3
- Michał Curzytek · WRO2
- Denis Zieliński · GRU1
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRUW
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU1*
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Denis Zieliński · GRU0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2*
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2*
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU2
- Denis Zieliński · GRU1*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 6 → 2 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 11 | +1 | −1 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| GRU | WRO | GRU | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +1 | 77 % |
| 4 | +1 | 73 % |
| 5 | -3 | 47 % |
| 6 | -5 | 33 % |
| 7 | -1 | 60 % |
| 8 | -1 | 57 % |
| 9 | -1 | 56 % |
| 10 | +3 | 84 % |
| 11 | +3 | 88 % |
| 12 | +3 | 86 % |
| 13 | +5 | 96 % |
| 14 | +5 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 6.6 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 11.1 | 14 | +2.9 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 12.1 | 14 | +1.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Tai Woffinden | 1 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.7 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Michał Curzytek | 4 | 5.0 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 5 | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.