ZIE vs RYB

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 31, 2020 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 57 : 33 RYB
ZIE
RYB

Heat by heat

Heat 161.13 s5:1
Heat 261.63 s5:1
Heat 361.75 s3:3
Heat 461.50 s5:1
Heat 560.65 s3:3
Heat 660.40 s5:1
Heat 761.00 s5:1
Heat 861.81 s1:5
Heat 960.57 s5:1
Heat 1061.37 s4:2
Heat 1161.72 s3:3
Heat 1261.53 s3:3
Heat 1361.03 s4:2
Heat 1461.32 s1:5
Heat 1560.34 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy → Cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
26 → 24 °C
Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Wind
11 km/h NW
gusts up to 28 km/h
Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
32 %
Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4186+12−12
5–7135+8−8
8–10108+2−2
11–13108+2−2
14–156600
ZIERYBZIERYB

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead ZIE
5101520115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2+896 %
3+894 %
4+1296 %
5+1297 %
6+1699 %
7+20100 %
8+16100 %
9+20100 %
10+22100 %
11+22100 %
12+22100 %
13+24100 %
14+20100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Martin Vaculik512.315+2.7
Piotr Protasiewicz58.611+2.4
Antonio Lindbäck57.39+1.7
Damian Pawliczak33.35+1.7
Vaclav Milik44.66+1.4
Norbert Krakowiak34.05+1.0
Mateusz Tudzież31.82+0.2
Adrian Miedziński57.27-0.2
Robert Lambert59.49-0.4
Mateusz Szczepaniak22.11-1.1
Sergei Logachev23.22-1.2
Kamil Nowacki31.70-1.7
Michael Jepsen Jensen46.95-1.9
Kacper Woryna68.26-2.2
Patryk Dudek59.37-2.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.8160.34 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 23.0:35.0 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −0.17
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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