LUB vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 2, 2020 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Paweł Miesiąc1 1 02
- 10Grigorij Laguta3 3 3 3 315
- 11Matej Zagar3 2 1 2 08+1
- 12Jarosław Hampel0 3 3 1 310+1
- 13Mikkel Michelsen1 2 1 15+1
- 14Wiktor Lampart3 0 2 2 W7
- 15Viktor Trofymov2 1 14+3
- 1Maciej Janowski0 3 2 3 2 111+1
- 2Max Fricke3 0 14+1
- 3Oliver Berntzon2 1 0 03
- 4Maksym Drabik2 0 3 0 16
- 5Tai Woffinden2 2 2 3 2 213+1
- 6Gleb Chugunov1 1 0 02+1
- 7Michał Curzytek0 00
Heat by heat
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Oliver Berntzon · WRO2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB2*
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Max Fricke · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Matej Zagar · LUB2*
- Oliver Berntzon · WRO1
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1*
- Max Fricke · WRO0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1*
- Oliver Berntzon · WRO0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Max Fricke · WRO1*
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Matej Zagar · LUB1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Matej Zagar · LUB2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Oliver Berntzon · WRO0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Matej Zagar · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 16 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h N
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LUB | WRO | LUB | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 9.0 | 15 | +6.0 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 6.6 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 3.9 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Max Fricke | 3 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 12.2 | 11 | -1.2 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Michał Curzytek | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 7.4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 9.1 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 7.1 | 2 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.