GRU vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 2, 2020 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen1 3 2 3 211+1
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski1 W1
- 11Kenneth Bjerre3 3 3 2 3 014
- 12Przemysław Pawlicki00
- 13Artem Laguta3 3 2 3 314
- 14Damian Lotarski2 0 02
- 15Marcin Turowski0 0 00
- 16Roman Lakhbaum0 1 2 0 03+1
- 1Jason Doyle2 2 1 1 28
- 2Rune Holta1 1 02+2
- 3Fredrik Lindgren0 2 3 2 18+1
- 4Paweł Przedpełski2 1 1 04+2
- 5Leon Madsen2 2 W 1 16+1
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak1 3 3 2 312
- 7Mateusz Świdnicki3 1 15+1
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Jason Doyle · CZE2
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE3
- Damian Lotarski · GRU2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Rune Holta · CZE1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Damian Lotarski · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE1*
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Jason Doyle · CZE2
- Rune Holta · CZE1*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE1
- Damian Lotarski · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2*
- Jason Doyle · CZE1
- Rune Holta · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU2*
- Jason Doyle · CZE1
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Jason Doyle · CZE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 26 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h S
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 36 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GRU | CZE | GRU | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 5.9 | 12 | +6.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 10.2 | 14 | +3.8 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 10.5 | 14 | +3.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 3 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Roman Lakhbaum | 5 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Damian Lotarski | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Rune Holta | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 2 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 12.4 | 6 | -6.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.