ZIE vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 24, 2020 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Antonio Lindbäck2 1 0 03+1
- 10Martin Vaculik3 3 3 3 315
- 11Piotr Protasiewicz3 1 3 2 110+1
- 12Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 0 2 06+1
- 13Patryk Dudek3 3 1 2 110+2
- 14Damian Pawliczak1 23
- 15Norbert Krakowiak2 1 14+1
- 16Mateusz Tonder11
- 1Paweł Miesiąc1 0 3 26+1
- 2Grigorij Laguta0 2 1 3 39+1
- 3Matej ZagarD 3 3 2 1 211
- 4Jarosław Hampel2 0 02
- 5Mikkel Michelsen1 2 2 1 0 06
- 6Wiktor LampartD 0 11+1
- 7Viktor Trofymov3 0 03
Heat by heat
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE2*
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Matej Zagar · LUBD
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB3
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE2
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUBD
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE1
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB0
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · LUB2
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1*
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Matej Zagar · LUB1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · LUB2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h W
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| ZIE | LUB | ZIE | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.4 | 15 | +5.6 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 6.8 | 10 | +3.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 7.2 | 10 | +2.8 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 4 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 2 | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 1 | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 10.6 | 9 | -1.6 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 3 | 5.3 | 2 | -3.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 12.0 | 6 | -6.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.