GRU vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 26, 2020 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen2 3 38+1
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 26+2
- 11Kenneth Bjerre3 25
- 12Przemysław Pawlicki1 01+1
- 13Artem Laguta2 3 16
- 14Damian Lotarski1 0 01+1
- 15Marcin Turowski2 02
- 1Krzysztof Kasprzak0 2 13
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen0 1 W1+1
- 3Jack Holder1 1 24+1
- 4Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 39
- 5Anders Thomsen3 W3
- 6Rafał Karczmarz3 14
- 7Wiktor Jasinski0 11
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2*
- Jack Holder · GOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR3
- Marcin Turowski · GRU2
- Damian Lotarski · GRU1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Damian Lotarski · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Jack Holder · GOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jack Holder · GOR2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Damian Lotarski · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR
- Marcin Turowski · GRU
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU
- Anders Thomsen · GOR
- Artem Laguta · GRU
- Jack Holder · GOR
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 21 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.7 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| GRU | GOR | GRU | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Damian Lotarski | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Anders Thomsen | 3 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 4 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Artem Laguta | 4 | 9.1 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 6.1 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 4.5 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 6.6 | 1 | -5.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.