LUB vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 17, 2020 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Grigorij Laguta3 3 3 211+1
- 10Paweł Miesiąc2 1 2 1 17+2
- 11Matej Zagar2 2 3 310+2
- 12Jarosław Hampel0 3 1 37
- 13Mikkel Michelsen1 3 3 2 312
- 14Wiktor Lampart3 3 1 07
- 15Viktor Trofymov1 1 1 14
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki0 00
- 2Kenneth Bjerre2 2 W 1 2 29+2
- 3Nicki Pedersen1 1 2 D D 26
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski1 01
- 5Artem Laguta3 2 2 1 3 314
- 6Marcin Turowski2 0 02
- 7Damian Lotarski0 0 00
- 8Roman Lakhbaum0 00
Heat by heat
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Matej Zagar · LUB2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Marcin Turowski · GRU2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1
- Damian Lotarski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Matej Zagar · LUB2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Damian Lotarski · GRU0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU0
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRUD
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1
- Damian Lotarski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRUD
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2*
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 16 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h N
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 86 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LUB | GRU | LUB | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +26 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +28 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 5.2 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 5 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 13.4 | 14 | +0.6 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Roman Lakhbaum | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 10.5 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 2 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Damian Lotarski | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 10.1 | 6 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.