ZIE vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 12, 2020 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 50 : 40 GOR
ZIE
GOR

Heat by heat

Heat 160.82 s5:1
Heat 260.72 s5:1
Heat 360.35 s4:2
Heat 459.94 s3:3
Heat 560.25 s5:1
Heat 659.72 s4:2
Heat 760.00 s4:2
Heat 859.84 s3:3
Heat 960.19 s3:3
Heat 1059.59 s3:3
Heat 1160.47 s1:5
Heat 1260.44 s4:2
Heat 1360.28 s2:4
Heat 1460.44 s3:3
Heat 1560.00 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
21 → 15 °C
Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Wind
9 km/h NW
gusts up to 24 km/h
Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
45 %
Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4177+10−10
5–7135+8−8
8–109900
11–13711−4+4
14–1548−4+4
ZIEGORZIEGOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead ZIE
4681012141618115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2+896 %
3+1098 %
4+1098 %
5+14100 %
6+1699 %
7+18100 %
8+18100 %
9+18100 %
10+18100 %
11+14100 %
12+16100 %
13+14100 %
14+14100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Jack Holder69.213+3.8
Piotr Protasiewicz56.810+3.2
Damian Pawliczak32.15+2.9
Martin Vaculik59.612+2.4
Patryk Dudek56.79+2.3
Norbert Krakowiak33.04+1.0
Szymon Woźniak56.86-0.8
Niels Kristian Iversen58.17-1.1
Antonio Lindbäck45.54-1.5
Michael Jepsen Jensen57.76-1.7
Wiktor Jasinski21.90-1.9
Rafał Karczmarz44.32-2.3
Bartosz Zmarzlik614.812-2.8
Anders Thomsen23.40-3.4

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.8259.59 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 24.3:34.3 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −0.30
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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