WRO vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 5, 2020 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Maciej Janowski3 2 2 1 19+2
- 10Chris Holder2 3 1 1 18+1
- 11Maksym Drabik0 1 2 14+1
- 12Max Fricke1 0 01
- 13Tai Woffinden3 2 3 3 213
- 14Michał Curzytek2 0 02
- 15Gleb Chugunov1 0 3 2 28+1
- 1Antonio Lindbäck2 1 3 06
- 2Martin Vaculik2 3 U 3 311
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen1 3 1 0 05+2
- 4Piotr Protasiewicz3 2 2 2 09+1
- 5Patryk Dudek0 1 3 2 39
- 6Norbert Krakowiak3 1 15
- 7Mateusz Tonder0 00
- 8Damian Pawliczak00
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE3
- Michał Curzytek · WRO2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · WRO2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Max Fricke · WRO0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Chris Holder · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Chris Holder · WRO1
- Martin Vaculik · ZIEU
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1
- Max Fricke · WRO0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1*
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Chris Holder · WRO1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Chris Holder · WRO1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 29 → 27 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| WRO | ZIE | WRO | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 8.7 | 13 | +4.3 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 6.2 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 9.9 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Max Fricke | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.3 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Maksym Drabik | 4 | 7.7 | 4 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.