LUB vs RYB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 3, 2020 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Grigorij Laguta3 3 3 211+1
- 10Jakub Jamróg3 2 0 27+1
- 11Jarosław Hampel0 3 2 3 08+1
- 12Matej Zagar2 2 3 2 312+2
- 13Mikkel Michelsen3 3 3 1 313+1
- 14Wiktor Lampart2 1 14+1
- 15Viktor Trofymov3 0 14
- 16Oskar Bober00
- 1Vaclav Milik1 1 2 1 1 06+3
- 2Adrian MiedzińskiW 2 1 25+1
- 4Sergei Logachev2 0 02
- 5Kacper Woryna1 1 1 03
- 6Kamil Nowacki0 0 00
- 7Mateusz Tudzież1 0 01
- 8Robert Lambert2 1 2 3 3 2 114
Heat by heat
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · RYB2
- Vaclav Milik · RYB1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2*
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB1
- Kamil Nowacki · RYB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Matej Zagar · LUB2*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Jakub Jamróg · LUB3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Kamil Nowacki · RYB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Matej Zagar · LUB2*
- Robert Lambert · RYB1
- Sergei Logachev · RYB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Adrian Miedziński · RYB2
- Vaclav Milik · RYB1*
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Jakub Jamróg · LUB2*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · RYB2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Sergei Logachev · RYB0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Vaclav Milik · RYB2
- Adrian Miedziński · RYB1*
- Jakub Jamróg · LUB0
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Kamil Nowacki · RYB0
- Robert Lambert · RYB3
- Matej Zagar · LUB2
- Vaclav Milik · RYB1
- Oskar Bober · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Adrian Miedziński · RYB2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Robert Lambert · RYB3
- Jakub Jamróg · LUB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · RYB2
- Vaclav Milik · RYB1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2*
- Robert Lambert · RYB1
- Vaclav Milik · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 20 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h NW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.7 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 12.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 82 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LUB | RYB | LUB | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Robert Lambert | 7 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 3 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Oskar Bober | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Sergei Logachev | 3 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Kacper Woryna | 4 | 6.1 | 3 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.