GOR vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, August 10, 2020 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak0 3 1 2 3 110+1
- 10Bartosz Zmarzlik1 3 3 3 2 315
- 12Jack Holder1 2 2 1 3 312+3
- 13Anders Thomsen2 1 2 3 1 110+1
- 14Wiktor Jasinski0 00
- 15Rafał Karczmarz2 W 0 02
- 1Jason Doyle3 3 W 2 08
- 2Paweł Przedpełski0 2 1 1 04+2
- 3Fredrik Lindgren2 1 1 0 26+1
- 4Rune Holta1 0 3 04
- 5Leon Madsen3 2 0 3 210
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak3 2 16
- 7Mateusz Świdnicki1 U 23
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · CZE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Jack Holder · GOR1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2
- Rune Holta · CZE1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Jack Holder · GOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Rune Holta · CZE0
- Jason Doyle · CZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZEU
- Rune Holta · CZE3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Jack Holder · GOR2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · CZE2
- Jack Holder · GOR1
- Rune Holta · CZE0
- Jack Holder · GOR3
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE2
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
- Jack Holder · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Jason Doyle · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 21 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GOR | CZE | GOR | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szymon Woźniak | 6 | 5.4 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 3.2 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Anders Thomsen | 6 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 11.3 | 12 | +0.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 14.3 | 15 | +0.7 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.5 | 6 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.