ZIE vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 27, 2020 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik3 3 1 D 29+1
- 10Antonio Lindbäck3 1 2 0 06
- 11Piotr Protasiewicz1 0 2 14+1
- 12Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 3 1 310+1
- 13Patryk Dudek2 2 3 2 211+1
- 14Mateusz Tonder2 1 03
- 15Norbert Krakowiak1 1 35+1
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 3 D11
- 2Krzysztof Buczkowski0 0 22
- 3Kenneth Bjerre0 3 2 3 19
- 4Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 1 2 17+2
- 5Artem Laguta3 2 1 1 310
- 6Marcin Turowski3 0 03
- 7Denis ZielińskiD 0 00
- 8Roman Lakhbaum00
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Marcin Turowski · GRU3
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1
- Denis Zieliński · GRUD
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE1
- Denis Zieliński · GRU0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE2
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE1*
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Martin Vaculik · ZIED
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Denis Zieliński · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRUD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 22 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h SW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| ZIE | GRU | ZIE | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 6.5 | 11 | +4.5 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Roman Lakhbaum | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 3 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.