LUB vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 21, 2020 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin

Results

LUB 53 : 37 GOR

LUB

9Grigorij Laguta1 3 3 2 T9+1
10Paweł Miesiąc0 2 2 04+2
11Jarosław Hampel3 2 3 3 213+1
12Matej Zagar1 3 1 3 19+1
13Mikkel Michelsen2 2 3 1 311
14Wiktor Lampart3 1 2 06+1
15Viktor Trofymov1 0 01

GOR

1Krzysztof Kasprzak2 3 0 1 06
2Szymon Woźniak0 0 1 01
4Anders Thomsen2 1 1 1 2 2 110+2
5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 0 1 2 2 3 314
6Rafał Karczmarz2 3 0 1 06+1
7Mateusz Bartkowiak0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 169.10 s4:2

Heat 269.18 s4:2

Heat 368.88 s3:3

Heat 468.41 s1:5

Heat 568.85 s5:1

Heat 668.65 s2:4

Heat 768.41 s5:1

Heat 868.53 s5:1

Heat 968.81 s5:1

Heat 1068.28 s4:2

Heat 1169.10 s5:1

Heat 1268.19 s3:3

Heat 1368.60 s1:5

Heat 1467.87 s4:2

Heat 1567.75 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Thunderstorm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 23 → 24 °C; Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Wind: 14 km/h N; gusts up to 28 km/h; Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Rain during the meeting: 4.6 mm; Rain likely: a second model agrees; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 2.5 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 71 %; Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	12	12	0	0
5–7	12	6	+6	−6
8–10	14	4	+10	−10
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	6	6	0	0
	LUB	GOR	LUB	GOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LUB

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+4	82 %
4	0	62 %
5	+4	83 %
6	+2	74 %
7	+6	90 %
8	+10	98 %
9	+14	100 %
10	+16	100 %
11	+20	100 %
12	+20	100 %
13	+16	100 %
14	+18	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Jarosław Hampel	5	6.6	13	+6.4
Rafał Karczmarz	5	3.7	6	+2.3
Grigorij Laguta	4	6.7	9	+2.3
Mikkel Michelsen	5	8.8	11	+2.2
Matej Zagar	5	6.9	9	+2.1
Wiktor Lampart	4	4.8	6	+1.2
Paweł Miesiąc	4	4.8	4	-0.8
Mateusz Bartkowiak	2	1.5	0	-1.5
Anders Thomsen	7	11.6	10	-1.6
Viktor Trofymov	3	2.8	1	-1.8
Krzysztof Kasprzak	5	8.3	6	-2.3
Bartosz Zmarzlik	7	17.6	14	-3.6
Szymon Woźniak	4	6.0	1	-5.0

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 69.1867.75 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 29.7:31.0 outside C + D

Trend ◀ +0.40

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source