ZIE vs WRO

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, October 9, 2020 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 37 : 32 WRO
ZIE
WRO

Heat by heat

Heat 157.43 s3:3
Heat 258.47 s3:0
Heat 357.84 s2:4
Heat 457.50 s3:3
Heat 557.75 s1:5
Heat 658.16 s3:3
Heat 758.15 s5:1
Heat 857.65 s4:2
Heat 958.28 s2:4
Heat 1059.46 s5:1
Heat 1159.50 s3:3
Heat 1260.01 s3:3
Heat 13
Heat 14
    Heat 15

      Conditions

      Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

      Sky
      Cloudy → Drizzle
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)
      Temperature
      14 °C
      Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
      Wind
      6 km/h S
      gusts up to 13 km/h
      Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
      Rain during the meeting
      0 mm
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)
      Rain in the 24 hours before
      3.3 mm
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)
      Humidity
      79 %
      Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away

      Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

      Match by phase

      Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

      PointsBalance
      1–41110+1−1
      5–79900
      8–10117+4−4
      11–136600
      ZIEWROZIEWRO

      The match heat by heat

      Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

      • Lead ZIE
      -2024112
      HeatLeadHome win chance
      1066 %
      2+386 %
      3+177 %
      4+173 %
      5-347 %
      6-348 %
      7+170 %
      8+383 %
      9+173 %
      10+592 %
      11+592 %
      12+592 %

      Pre-meeting expectation

      Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

      RiderheatsExpectedScored±
      Dan Bewley54.312+7.7
      Mateusz Tonder53.76+2.3
      Michael Jepsen Jensen46.08+2.0
      Rohan Tungate46.78+1.3
      Max Fricke58.810+1.2
      Piotr Protasiewicz34.64-0.6
      Jan Kvech10.80-0.8
      Patryk Dudek46.35-1.3
      Norbert Krakowiak11.60-1.6
      Michał Curzytek32.10-2.1
      Martin Vaculik48.26-2.2
      Gleb Chugunov46.82-4.8
      Maciej Janowski48.94-4.9
      Chris Holder59.14-5.1

      Track & gates

      Heat times

      Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

      slower 60.0157.43 faster

      Starting gates

      One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

      Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

      Inside vs outside

      Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

      inside A + B 33.0:18.0 outside C + D
      Trend ◀ +1.99 towards the inside
      Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
      Full results at the source(opens in a new tab)