GOR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 4, 2020 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak3 1 2 3 211+2
- 10Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 315
- 11Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 W2+1
- 12Anders Thomsen2 2 3 2 211+2
- 13Jack HolderU 1 2 2 38+1
- 14Wiktor Jasinski2 2 0 15+2
- 15Rafał Karczmarz3 0 03
- 1Maciej Janowski2 3 3 0 0 19
- 2Chris Holder1 2 1 3 1 08+1
- 4Max Fricke1 0 1 1 14
- 5Tai Woffinden3 3 2 210
- 6Gleb ChugunovW M0
- 7Michał Curzytek1 0 W 2 03+1
- 8Dan Bewley0 00
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Chris Holder · WRO1
- Jack Holder · GORU
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Gleb Chugunov · WROM
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1*
- Max Fricke · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Chris Holder · WRO2*
- Jack Holder · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Jack Holder · GOR2
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Chris Holder · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Michał Curzytek · WROW
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GORW
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Chris Holder · WRO3
- Michał Curzytek · WRO2*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jack Holder · GOR2*
- Chris Holder · WRO1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Jack Holder · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Chris Holder · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 12 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 3 km/h S
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 7 | +3 | −3 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| GOR | WRO | GOR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +9 | 96 % |
| 11 | +13 | 100 % |
| 12 | +9 | 98 % |
| 13 | +13 | 100 % |
| 14 | +17 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 5.4 | 11 | +5.6 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.2 | 15 | +2.8 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 4 | 2.2 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Michał Curzytek | 5 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Dan Bewley | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 2 | 3.8 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 8.1 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 13.2 | 9 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.