LUB vs ZIE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 13, 2020 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin

Results

LUB 52 : 38 ZIE

LUB

9Jakub Jamróg3 1 1 16
10Grigorij Laguta3 W 3 2 311
11Matej Zagar2 2 2 3 110+3
12Jarosław Hampel3 0 3 3 211+1
13Mikkel Michelsen2 3 3 1 211+2
14Wiktor LampartW0
15Viktor Trofymov2 0 13

ZIE

1Antonio Lindbäck1 2 2 05
2Martin Vaculik0 1 U1+1
3Michael Jepsen Jensen0 3 1 2 0 06
4Piotr Protasiewicz2 1 2 2 07
5Patryk Dudek1 3 0 3 1 311
6Norbert Krakowiak3 1 15
7Mateusz Tonder1 2 03+1

Heat by heat

Heat 166.82 s5:1

Heat 267.39 s2:4

Heat 366.76 s5:1

Heat 467.15 s3:3

Heat 567.23 s2:4

Heat 667.57 s3:3

Heat 71:5

Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
Mateusz Tonder · ZIE2*
Jakub Jamróg · LUB1
Grigorij Laguta · LUBW

Heat 867.22 s3:3

Heat 966.89 s4:2

Heat 1067.49 s5:1

Heat 1167.38 s4:2

Heat 1267.07 s4:2

Heat 1367.91 s3:3

Heat 1467.43 s5:1

Heat 1567.64 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 17 → 14 °C; Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Wind: 5 km/h NW; gusts up to 17 km/h; Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 83 %; Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	6	12	−6	+6
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	11	7	+4	−4
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	LUB	ZIE	LUB	ZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LUB

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+6	90 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+4	83 %
6	+4	82 %
7	0	60 %
8	0	57 %
9	+2	73 %
10	+6	92 %
11	+8	95 %
12	+10	98 %
13	+10	100 %
14	+14	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Mikkel Michelsen	5	7.7	11	+3.3
Jarosław Hampel	5	8.6	11	+2.4
Patryk Dudek	6	9.1	11	+1.9
Norbert Krakowiak	3	3.4	5	+1.6
Jakub Jamróg	4	4.8	6	+1.2
Mateusz Tonder	3	2.0	3	+1.0
Matej Zagar	5	9.4	10	+0.6
Grigorij Laguta	5	10.5	11	+0.5
Antonio Lindbäck	4	4.5	5	+0.5
Viktor Trofymov	3	3.3	3	-0.3
Piotr Protasiewicz	5	7.7	7	-0.7
Michael Jepsen Jensen	6	9.0	6	-3.0
Wiktor Lampart	3	3.2	0	-3.2
Martin Vaculik	3	6.7	1	-5.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 67.9166.76 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 41.0:20.3 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −0.30

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source