GOR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, August 24, 2020 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak2 1 2 2 310+3
- 10Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 1 212
- 11Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 1 2 210+2
- 12Anders Thomsen1 3 3 3 111+2
- 13Jack Holder2 2 2 06
- 14Wiktor Jasinski2 1 03+1
- 15Rafał Karczmarz3 1 15
- 1Nicki Pedersen1 3 1 0 38
- 2Krzysztof Buczkowski0 W0
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki0 0 11
- 4Kenneth Bjerre2 1 1 1 2 07+1
- 5Artem Laguta3 2 3 2 3 316
- 6Denis Zieliński1 0 01
- 7Kacper Łobodziński0 0 U0
- 8Roman Lakhbaum0 00
Heat by heat
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2*
- Denis Zieliński · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Jack Holder · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Denis Zieliński · GRU0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Jack Holder · GOR2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Jack Holder · GOR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Denis Zieliński · GRU0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRUU
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Jack Holder · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h W
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GOR | GRU | GOR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 5.8 | 10 | +4.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 12.5 | 16 | +3.5 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 7.1 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.3 | 12 | -0.3 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Roman Lakhbaum | 2 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 9.5 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.9 | 8 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.