GRU vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Tuesday, September 8, 2020 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 3 113
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski2 0 1 03
- 11Kenneth Bjerre2 2 1 2 310+2
- 12Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 2 1 05+1
- 13Artem Laguta3 3 2 3 314
- 14Kacper Łobodziński0 0 00
- 15Denis Zieliński1 0 01
- 1Jakub Jamróg0 11+1
- 2Grigorij Laguta0 2 2 3 29
- 3Matej Zagar1 0 1 2 15+1
- 4Jarosław Hampel3 3 3 2 213
- 5Mikkel Michelsen2 2 3 1 08+1
- 6Wiktor Lampart3 1 0 W4
- 7Viktor Trofymov2 1 0 14+2
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2*
- Matej Zagar · LUB1
- Jakub Jamróg · LUB0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB2*
- Denis Zieliński · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Matej Zagar · LUB0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Jakub Jamróg · LUB1*
- Denis Zieliński · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Matej Zagar · LUB1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1
- Denis Zieliński · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Matej Zagar · LUB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Matej Zagar · LUB1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h SW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GRU | LUB | GRU | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.4 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.9 | 13 | +3.1 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 12.2 | 14 | +1.8 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 2 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 10.5 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.8 | 5 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.