LUB vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, August 31, 2020 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Paweł Miesiąc0 11+1
- 10Grigorij Laguta3 2 0 1 1 07+1
- 11Matej Zagar2 2 1 3 2 313+1
- 12Jarosław Hampel3 1 0 2 0 17+2
- 13Mikkel Michelsen0 0 11
- 14Wiktor Lampart1 0 W1+1
- 15Viktor Trofymov2 2 3 29
- 1Leon Madsen3 1 2 0 39+1
- 2Paweł Przedpełski1 3 3 1 08+1
- 3Rune Holta1 0 3 26+1
- 4Jason Doyle2 3 2 3 212+1
- 5Fredrik Lindgren2 3 2 3 111+1
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak3 1 15+2
- 7Mateusz Świdnicki0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Matej Zagar · LUB2
- Rune Holta · CZE1
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · CZE2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Jason Doyle · CZE3
- Matej Zagar · LUB2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1*
- Rune Holta · CZE0
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE3
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Rune Holta · CZE3
- Jason Doyle · CZE2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Matej Zagar · LUB1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB0
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Jason Doyle · CZE3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1*
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB3
- Matej Zagar · LUB2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · CZE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Rune Holta · CZE2*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE0
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · CZE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 14 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h NW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 93 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LUB | CZE | LUB | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 3.2 | 9 | +5.8 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 7.8 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 6.0 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 6 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 11.2 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 3 | 5.8 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 6 | 12.5 | 7 | -5.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.