GRU vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Wednesday, September 9, 2020 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 2 010
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski1 1 1 0 03+1
- 11Kenneth Bjerre2 1 1 0 2 17+1
- 12Przemysław Pawlicki1 0 U1
- 13Artem Laguta3 3 3 3 214
- 14Damian Lotarski1 0 0 01
- 15Denis Zieliński0 00
- 1Maciej Janowski0 2 3 3 210+1
- 2Maksym Drabik0 11+1
- 3Chris Holder1 2 2 1 39+2
- 4Max Fricke3 3 1 1 19+1
- 5Tai Woffinden2 2 3 2 312
- 6Gleb Chugunov3 2 0 2 310+2
- 7Przemysław Liszka2 0 13+1
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2*
- Chris Holder · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO2*
- Damian Lotarski · GRU1
- Denis Zieliński · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Max Fricke · WRO3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Damian Lotarski · GRU0
- Max Fricke · WRO3
- Chris Holder · WRO2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1*
- Denis Zieliński · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Chris Holder · WRO2
- Max Fricke · WRO1*
- Damian Lotarski · GRU0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRUU
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1
- Damian Lotarski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Chris Holder · WRO1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Chris Holder · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 5 km/h S
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.3 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 85 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| GRU | WRO | GRU | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -16 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 5 | 6.2 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 12.1 | 14 | +1.9 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Denis Zieliński | 2 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Damian Lotarski | 4 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Maksym Drabik | 2 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.