GOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Wednesday, September 2, 2020 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak3 2 2 3 111+3
- 10Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 214
- 11Krzysztof Kasprzak1 1 0 13+1
- 12Anders Thomsen3 2 2 2 312+1
- 13Jack Holder1 3 2 1 U7
- 14Wiktor Jasinski0 1 D1
- 15Rafał Karczmarz3 1 04
- 1Viktor KulakovD 00
- 2Martin Vaculik0 2 D 3 27
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 3 1 0 09
- 4Piotr Protasiewicz2 0 1 03
- 5Patryk Dudek2 1 3 1 2 312
- 6Norbert Krakowiak2 D 1 2 16+1
- 7Mateusz Tonder1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Viktor Kulakov · ZIED
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR3
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Jack Holder · GOR1
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIED
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Jack Holder · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Viktor Kulakov · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Jack Holder · GOR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GORD
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Martin Vaculik · ZIED
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Jack Holder · GOR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1
- Jack Holder · GORU
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 13 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h SW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 91 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GOR | ZIE | GOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 5.8 | 11 | +5.2 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 6.1 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.5 | 14 | +1.5 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 5 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 2 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.9 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 6.6 | 3 | -3.6 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 2 | 3.7 | 0 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.