ZIE vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 23, 2020 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Antonio Lindbäck0 1 01
- 10Martin Vaculik3 2 0 2 3 212+2
- 11Piotr Protasiewicz1 1 1 3 28
- 12Michael Jepsen Jensen1 0 01+1
- 13Patryk Dudek2 2 3 3 0 313
- 14Damian Pawliczak1 01
- 15Norbert Krakowiak3 0 1 15+1
- 16Mateusz Tonder00
- 1Maciej Janowski3 3 2 3 112+1
- 2Maksym Drabik0 1 3 26
- 3Chris Holder2 2 2 2 08+2
- 4Max Fricke2 3 1 17+1
- 5Tai Woffinden3 1 2 1 310+2
- 6Gleb Chugunov2 1 3 06+1
- 7Michał Curzytek0 M0
- 8Przemysław Liszka00
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Chris Holder · WRO2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE0
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE1
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Max Fricke · WRO2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1*
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · WRO3
- Chris Holder · WRO2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · WRO2
- Max Fricke · WRO1*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE1
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1
- Michał Curzytek · WROM
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1*
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Chris Holder · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 16 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h W
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| ZIE | WRO | ZIE | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -14 | 2 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 5.2 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 4 | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Maksym Drabik | 4 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 12.7 | 12 | -0.7 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Michał Curzytek | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.