GOR vs RYB

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 14, 2020 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 52 : 38 RYB

GOR

9Szymon Woźniak2 1 0 03
10Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 1 313
11Krzysztof Kasprzak0 0 1 12+1
12Jack Holder2 2 3 3 313+1
13Anders Thomsen3 3 3 3 113
14Wiktor Jasinski1 1 02
15Rafał Karczmarz3 1 2 06

RYB

1Kacper Woryna3 2 2 1 19+2
2Mateusz Szczepaniak0 00
3Vaclav Milik1 1 2 0 26
4Sergei Logachev2 3 1 1 2 211+2
5Robert Lambert1 2 2 3 2 010
6Kamil Nowacki2 0 0 02
7Mateusz Tudzież0 U0

Heat by heat

Heat 159.79 s

Heat 260.09 s

Heat 359.48 s

Heat 459.28 s

Heat 559.63 s

Heat 659.31 s

Heat 758.98 s

Heat 859.32 s

Heat 959.06 s

Heat 1059.37 s

Heat 1159.70 s3:3

Jack Holder · GOR3
Sergei Logachev · RYB2
Kacper Woryna · RYB1*
Szymon Woźniak · GOR0

Heat 1259.73 s

Heat 1359.42 s

Heat 1460.10 s

Jack Holder · GOR3
Vaclav Milik · RYB2
Kacper Woryna · RYB1*
Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0

Heat 1560.03 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 25 → 23 °C; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind: 4 km/h N; gusts up to 13 km/h; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 1.6 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 51 %; Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	10	8	+2	−2
11–13	10	8	+2	−2
14–15	7	5	+2	−2
	GOR	RYB	GOR	RYB

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GOR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
11	0	48 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Anders Thomsen	5	8.8	13	+4.2
Sergei Logachev	6	7.2	11	+3.8
Jack Holder	5	10.8	13	+2.2
Rafał Karczmarz	4	4.4	6	+1.6
Kacper Woryna	5	7.6	9	+1.4
Vaclav Milik	5	5.5	6	+0.5
Bartosz Zmarzlik	5	13.1	13	-0.1
Kamil Nowacki	4	2.4	2	-0.4
Robert Lambert	6	10.7	10	-0.7
Mateusz Tudzież	2	1.2	0	-1.2
Wiktor Jasinski	3	3.3	2	-1.3
Mateusz Szczepaniak	2	2.1	0	-2.1
Szymon Woźniak	4	5.8	3	-2.8
Krzysztof Kasprzak	4	7.2	2	-5.2

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.1058.98 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 34.3:29.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.43 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source