WRO vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 12, 2020 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Max Fricke2 1 2 05+1
- 10Maksym Drabik3 3 3 3 012
- 11Maciej Janowski1 3 2 3 110+2
- 12Dan Bewley0 0 11+1
- 13Tai Woffinden3 2 3 1 211+1
- 14Przemysław Liszka2 2 04+2
- 15Gleb Chugunov3 3 2 2 212+1
- 1Jarosław Hampel3 0 0 3 17
- 2Jakub Jamróg1 1 1 14+1
- 3Grigorij Laguta0 2 2 0 37
- 4Matej Zagar1 1 1 1 04+2
- 5Mikkel Michelsen2 0 3 2 310
- 6Wiktor Lampart1 0 01
- 7Viktor Trofymov0 2 02
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Max Fricke · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO2*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Jakub Jamróg · LUB1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO2*
- Matej Zagar · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Matej Zagar · LUB1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Jakub Jamróg · LUB1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB2
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Matej Zagar · LUB1*
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Max Fricke · WRO2*
- Jakub Jamróg · LUB1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Matej Zagar · LUB1
- Max Fricke · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2*
- Jakub Jamróg · LUB1
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Matej Zagar · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h NE
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.8 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| WRO | LUB | WRO | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 3 | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 10.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Dan Bewley | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.6 | 4 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.