TOR vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 21, 2019 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder3 2 1 1 29
- 10Rune Holta00
- 11Niels Kristian Iversen2 0 3 2 18+1
- 12Norbert Kościuch1 2 0 25+1
- 13Jason Doyle2 3 3 3 2 114
- 14Filip Nizgorski0 00
- 15Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński1 0 0 01
- 16Jack Holder0 W 00
- 1Andreas Jonsson2 3 1 17+1
- 2Paweł Miesiąc1 1 2 37+1
- 3Grigorij Laguta3 2 2 T W7
- 4Dawid Lampart0 2 35+1
- 5Mikkel Michelsen3 3 2 3 314
- 6Wiktor Lampart3 1 1 38
- 7Viktor Trofymov2 1 14+2
- 8Robert Lambert0 1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1*
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB2*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Filip Nizgorski · TOR0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR1*
- Robert Lambert · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · LUB1*
- Filip Nizgorski · TOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Rune Holta · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Dawid Lampart · LUB0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1*
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR0
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Dawid Lampart · LUB2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Dawid Lampart · LUB3
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1*
- Robert Lambert · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 18 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h NW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 13.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 85 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | LUB | TOR | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -16 | 0 % |
| 14 | -16 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 10.0 | 14 | +4.0 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 5.4 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Dawid Lampart | 3 | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 4 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 4 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 13.9 | 14 | +0.1 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 4 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Rune Holta | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Filip Nizgorski | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 10.2 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Robert Lambert | 3 | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Jack Holder | 3 | 4.2 | 0 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.