GRU vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 21, 2019 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre3 1 3 2 09+1
- 10Antonio Lindbäck2 2 2 1 07+2
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki1 3 3 3 111
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski0 2 2 D4+2
- 13Artem Laguta3 3 M 3 312
- 14Kamil Wieczorek1 0 12
- 15Marcin Turowski3 1 26
- 1Szymon Woźniak0 0 33
- 2Peter Kildemand1 1 M 02
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 0 2 2 211+1
- 4Anders Thomsen2 1 1 1 16+3
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 1 2 3 314
- 6Rafał Karczmarz0 0 00
- 7Mateusz Bartkowiak2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2*
- Peter Kildemand · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Marcin Turowski · GRU3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR2
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Marcin Turowski · GRU1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Peter Kildemand · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Marcin Turowski · GRU2
- Artem Laguta · GRUM
- Peter Kildemand · GORM
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Peter Kildemand · GOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRUD
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 21 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 4 km/h SW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.1 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 12.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 80 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 5 | +7 | −7 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| GRU | GOR | GRU | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +7 | 94 % |
| 9 | +11 | 99 % |
| 10 | +15 | 100 % |
| 11 | +17 | 100 % |
| 12 | +19 | 100 % |
| 13 | +17 | 100 % |
| 14 | +17 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 1.9 | 6 | +4.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 15.2 | 14 | -1.2 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 3 | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 4.0 | 0 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.