ZIE vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 2, 2019 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen1 2 1 26+2
- 10Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 2 3 010
- 11Piotr Protasiewicz3 1 3 1 W8
- 12Patryk Dudek2 3 2 3 313+2
- 13Martin Vaculik1 3 2 0 39
- 14Mateusz Tonder1 0 01+1
- 15Norbert Krakowiak2 0 02
- 1Leon Madsen3 2 3 1 2 112+3
- 2Paweł PrzedpełskiW 0 11
- 3Adrian Miedziński0 2 W2
- 4Fredrik Lindgren1 1 3 2 0 29+1
- 5Matej Zagar3 1 0 1 16
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak0 00
- 7Michał Gruchalski3 2 1 3 211+1
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE1
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE3
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE0
- Matej Zagar · CZE3
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE2*
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2*
- Matej Zagar · CZE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1
- Matej Zagar · CZE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE0
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2*
- Matej Zagar · CZE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE2
- Matej Zagar · CZE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h SE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ZIE | CZE | ZIE | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michał Gruchalski | 5 | 4.8 | 11 | +6.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 7.5 | 13 | +5.5 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 6.0 | 10 | +4.0 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 13.7 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 10.7 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.9 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 2 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.