TOR vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 31, 2019 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder1 3 2 3 312+1
- 10Norbert Kościuch1 3 3 W7
- 11Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 2 3 210+1
- 12Rune Holta00
- 13Jason Doyle3 1 1 2 310+1
- 14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński2 0 0 13
- 15Maksymilian Bogdanowicz0 00
- 16Jack Holder3 1 1 27+3
- 1Szymon Woźniak2 3 2 2 09+1
- 2Adam EllisD 00
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 1 1 19
- 4Anders Thomsen2 2 0 1 27+2
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 2 3 0 W7
- 6Rafał Karczmarz3 0 3 0 06
- 7Mateusz Bartkowiak1 1 02+1
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Adam Ellis · GORD
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR1
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Rune Holta · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1*
- Adam Ellis · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.9 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 93 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 3 | +5 | −5 | |
| TOR | GOR | TOR | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +5 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 4.6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 4 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 5 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Rune Holta | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Adam Ellis | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.3 | 10 | -1.3 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.8 | 7 | -5.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.