LUB vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 26, 2019 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Paweł Miesiąc1 2 3 3 0 110+1
- 11Dawid Lampart0 00
- 12Grigorij Laguta3 1 3 3 3 215
- 13Mikkel Michelsen3 2 2 0 1 311
- 14Viktor Trofymov2 0 13+2
- 15Wiktor Lampart3 1 04
- 16Robert Lambert1 2 2 05+2
- 1Jason Doyle2 2 3 3 2 315
- 2Rune Holta0 1 12+1
- 3Chris Holder2 1 2 05+1
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 1 1 07+1
- 6Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński0 00
- 7Maksymilian Bogdanowicz1 0 0 01
- 8Jack Holder3 3 1 2 2 112+2
Heat by heat
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Rune Holta · TOR0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB2*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Dawid Lampart · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Rune Holta · TOR1*
- Dawid Lampart · LUB0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · LUB1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Rune Holta · TOR1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · LUB2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · LUB2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1*
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1*
- Robert Lambert · LUB0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 20 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h W
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LUB | TOR | LUB | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grigorij Laguta | 6 | 7.1 | 15 | +7.9 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 7.8 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 6 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 13.5 | 15 | +1.5 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 4.0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Robert Lambert | 4 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Rune Holta | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 4 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Dawid Lampart | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 10.6 | 7 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.