GOR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 24, 2019 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak2 2 3 2 211+2
- 10Peter Kildemand1 3 0 1 27
- 11Krzysztof Kasprzak2 3 1 3 110+2
- 12Anders ThomsenT 0 2 13+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 315
- 14Mateusz Bartkowiak2 0 02+1
- 15Rafał Karczmarz3 0 0 03
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 1 2 2 0 08+1
- 2Antonio LindbäckT 2 1 03+1
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 2 26+1
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 1 06+1
- 5Artem Laguta2 1 3 3 3 113
- 6Patryk RolnickiU0
- 7Marcin Turowski1 1 0 13+2
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Peter Kildemand · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR2*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Marcin Turowski · GRU1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Peter Kildemand · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Peter Kildemand · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Peter Kildemand · GOR1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Marcin Turowski · GRU1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Peter Kildemand · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 20 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h SW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GOR | GRU | GOR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 6.5 | 11 | +4.5 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Marcin Turowski | 4 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 12.9 | 13 | +0.1 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Anders Thomsen | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 3 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 11.2 | 8 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.