GRU vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 16, 2019 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre2 3 2 1 311
- 10Antonio Lindbäck1 1 1 25+3
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 1 3 17+2
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 2 2 312
- 13Artem Laguta2 3 3 3 213+1
- 14Kamil Wieczorek3 0 14
- 15Marcin Turowski2 1 W3+2
- 1Chris Holder0 3 2 2 0 07
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen2 2 0 0 26
- 4Norbert Kościuch0 11+1
- 5Jason Doyle3 2 3 3 3 115
- 6Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński1 0 0 01
- 7Filip Nizgorski0 00
- 8Jack Holder3 0 1 1 D5
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU3
- Marcin Turowski · GRU2*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Filip Nizgorski · TOR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Marcin Turowski · GRU1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Filip Nizgorski · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2*
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Jack Holder · TORD
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2*
- Jason Doyle · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 16.9 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GRU | TOR | GRU | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 6.6 | 12 | +5.4 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 10.9 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 13.2 | 15 | +1.8 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 4 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Filip Nizgorski | 2 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 10.9 | 7 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.