GOR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 17, 2019 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak1 2 2 3 19+1
- 10Peter Kildemand2 1 0 2 38+2
- 11Krzysztof Kasprzak3 D 1 15
- 12Anders Thomsen1 3 3 2 110+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 3 314
- 14Mateusz Bartkowiak0 0 00
- 15Rafał Karczmarz2 0 02
- 1Tai Woffinden3 2 2 3 212
- 2Jakub Jamróg0 1 1 13+1
- 3Vaclav Milik0 3 3 0 W6
- 5Max Fricke1 0 01+1
- 6Maksym Drabik3 3 2 1 211+1
- 7Przemysław Liszka1 2 2 05
- 8Gleb Chugunov2 1 1 04
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Peter Kildemand · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO2
- Max Fricke · WRO1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GORD
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Peter Kildemand · GOR1*
- Max Fricke · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Peter Kildemand · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Max Fricke · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Peter Kildemand · GOR2*
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Peter Kildemand · GOR3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h E
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GOR | WRO | GOR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 6.8 | 10 | +3.2 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 4 | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 6.3 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.5 | 14 | +1.5 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 4 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Max Fricke | 3 | 5.0 | 1 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.