TOR vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 5, 2019 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Jason Doyle3 u3
- 10Norbert Kościuch0 11
- 11Chris Holder3 3 3 3 3 015
- 12Rune Holta0 1 1 2 04
- 13Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 1 3 17
- 14Maksymilian Bogdanowicz0 0 00
- 15Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński2 0 02
- 16Jack Holder3 1 2 0 17+1
- 1Leon Madsen2 2 2 2 210+2
- 2Paweł Przedpełski1 0 3 15+1
- 3Adrian Miedziński2 2 2 W 39+1
- 4Fredrik Lindgren1 3 0 3 310+1
- 5Matej Zagar2 W 2 1 27+2
- 6Michał Gruchalski3 2 16+1
- 7Jakub Miśkowiak1 3 04
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE1*
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR0
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE1*
- Rune Holta · TOR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Rune Holta · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE2
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Rune Holta · TOR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE1
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Matej Zagar · CZE1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2*
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Rune Holta · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h NW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 8.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| TOR | CZE | TOR | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Holder | 6 | 9.4 | 15 | +5.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 5.8 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 3 | 3.5 | 6 | +2.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 1 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | -0.0 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 2 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 12.0 | 10 | -2.0 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 10.5 | 7 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.