ZIE vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 26, 2019 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek1 3 2 3 09+1
- 10Michael Jepsen Jensen2 1 0 36
- 11Piotr Protasiewicz2 0 1 2 16+1
- 12Martin Vaculik1 3 2 2 311+2
- 13Nicki Pedersen2 1 3 1 07
- 14Mateusz Tonder0 0 11+1
- 15Norbert Krakowiak3 1 26+2
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 1 0 3 310+1
- 2Antonio Lindbäck0 2 1 03
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki0 2 1 25+1
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 3 0 2 112+2
- 5Artem Laguta3 2 3 1 211
- 6Patryk Rolnicki1 0 01+1
- 7Marcin Turowski2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE3
- Marcin Turowski · GRU2
- Patryk Rolnicki · GRU1*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2*
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Patryk Rolnicki · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE3
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1*
- Patryk Rolnicki · GRU0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2*
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 19 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h W
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| ZIE | GRU | ZIE | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 7.5 | 12 | +4.5 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 2.3 | 6 | +3.7 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 11.2 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 6.1 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.5 | 7 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.