OST vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 13, 2019 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Nicolai KlindtW 1 0 01+1
- 10Oleksandr Loktayev2 2 1 3 2 313
- 11Tomasz Gapiński1 3 3 2 09
- 12Sam MastersD 00
- 13Grzegorz Walasek2 1 2 2 D D7+1
- 14Sebastian Szostak1 0 0 12
- 15Marcin Kościelski0 1 01+1
- 1Szymon Woźniak3 1 3 310+1
- 2Peter Kildemand1 2 1 1 38
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 2 2 111+2
- 4Anders Thomsen2 2 3 3 212+2
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 36
- 6Rafał Karczmarz2 0 0 13+1
- 7Mateusz Bartkowiak3 0 1 1 27+1
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2
- Peter Kildemand · GOR1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Sam Masters · OSTD
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Peter Kildemand · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Sam Masters · OST0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Peter Kildemand · GOR1
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Peter Kildemand · GOR1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OSTD
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Peter Kildemand · GOR3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GOR2*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OSTD
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 19 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h S
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 7 | 17 | −10 | +10 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| OST | GOR | OST | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -10 | 7 % |
| 4 | -10 | 8 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -14 | 4 % |
| 7 | -14 | 0 % |
| 8 | -16 | 1 % |
| 9 | -20 | 1 % |
| 10 | -16 | 2 % |
| 11 | -16 | 1 % |
| 12 | -18 | 0 % |
| 13 | -20 | 0 % |
| 14 | -24 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 6 | 4.6 | 13 | +8.4 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 5 | 4.5 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.5 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 2 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Sam Masters | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 4 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 6 | 11.5 | 7 | -4.5 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 7.4 | 1 | -6.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.