WRO vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 14, 2019 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden3 3 3 3 315
- 10Jakub Jamróg2 1 03+1
- 11Vaclav Milik0 00
- 12Max Fricke1 2 1 1 16+1
- 13Maciej Janowski3 3 2 1 211+1
- 14Przemysław Liszka2 0 13+2
- 15Maksym Drabik3 2 0 2 29+1
- 16Gleb Chugunov2 02
- 1Patryk Dudek1 3 1 3 08
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen0 1 3 2 06+1
- 3Martin Vaculik3 2 1 3 110+1
- 4Piotr Protasiewicz2 1 2 05+2
- 5Nicki Pedersen1 2 3 2 311
- 6Mateusz Tonder1 0 01
- 7Norbert KrakowiakW 0 D0
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO2*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2*
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Max Fricke · WRO2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE1*
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO0
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIED
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Max Fricke · WRO1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 10 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h NE
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| WRO | ZIE | WRO | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 9.6 | 15 | +5.4 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 2 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.6 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Vaclav Milik | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.