GRU vs CZE

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 12, 2019 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz

Results

GRU 47 : 43 CZE

GRU

9Antonio Lindbäck2 3 1 1 T7
11Przemysław Pawlicki1 3 3 3 3 114+1
12Krzysztof Buczkowski2 W 1 2 3 210+1
13Kenneth Bjerre1 3 1 3 0 08+1
14Marcin Turowski2 U 02+1
15Patryk Rolnicki3 1 0 2 06+1

CZE

1Leon Madsen3 1 2 2 2 212+2
2Paweł Przedpełski0 2 1 36+1
3Adrian Miedziński0 2 02+1
4Fredrik Lindgren3 3 2 3 0 314
5Matej Zagar2 2 1 1 17
6Michał GruchalskiT 0 11+1
7Jakub Miśkowiak1 0 01

Heat by heat

Heat 168.27 s3:3

Heat 269.13 s5:1

Heat 368.38 s3:3

Heat 468.54 s4:2

Heat 569.57 s3:3

Heat 668.89 s1:5

Heat 769.49 s4:2

Heat 869.16 s3:3

Heat 969.06 s4:2

Heat 1069.63 s5:1

Heat 1170.03 s1:5

Heat 1270.09 s3:3

Heat 1369.85 s5:1

Heat 1469.43 s2:4

Heat 1568.88 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 5 → 1 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 14 km/h N; gusts up to 22 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 68 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	3	9	−6	+6
	GRU	CZE	GRU	CZE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GRU

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+6	90 %
6	+2	74 %
7	+4	82 %
8	+4	83 %
9	+6	89 %
10	+10	96 %
11	+6	92 %
12	+6	92 %
13	+10	100 %
14	+8	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Przemysław Pawlicki	6	7.0	14	+7.0
Patryk Rolnicki	5	3.1	6	+2.9
Fredrik Lindgren	6	11.5	14	+2.5
Paweł Przedpełski	4	4.9	6	+1.1
Antonio Lindbäck	4	6.0	7	+1.0
Marcin Turowski	3	1.7	2	+0.3
Krzysztof Buczkowski	6	9.9	10	+0.1
Adrian Miedziński	3	3.8	2	-1.8
Matej Zagar	5	9.3	7	-2.3
Kenneth Bjerre	6	10.5	8	-2.5
Michał Gruchalski	3	3.6	1	-2.6
Jakub Miśkowiak	3	3.8	1	-2.8
Leon Madsen	6	15.0	12	-3.0

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 70.0968.27 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 34.0:32.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.13 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source