ZIE vs CZE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 22, 2019 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 45 : 44 CZE

ZIE

9Martin Vaculik2 3 3 1 09+1
10Sebastian Niedźwiedź0 W0
11Piotr Protasiewicz1 0 1 2 26+1
12Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 2 2 111
13Patryk Dudek3 W 1 1 16+1
14Damian Pawliczak3 2 0 16+1
15Norbert Krakowiak2 2 0 37+2

CZE

1Leon Madsen3 1 3 3 313+1
2Paweł Przedpełski1 2 2 2 07+1
3Adrian Miedziński0 W 1 U1+1
4Fredrik Lindgren2 3 2 0 310
5Matej Zagar1 2 3 3 211+1
6Jakub Miśkowiak0 00
7Michał Gruchalski1 0 1 02

Heat by heat

Heat 161.61 s2:4

Heat 262.24 s5:1

Heat 362.50 s4:2

Heat 462.43 s5:1

Heat 562.19 s3:3

Heat 661.94 s2:3

Fredrik Lindgren · CZE3
Damian Pawliczak · ZIE2

Heat 761.82 s3:3

Heat 863.55 s1:5

Heat 963.18 s3:3

Heat 1064.11 s3:3

Heat 1163.43 s4:2

Heat 1280.94 s3:3

Heat 1363.08 s3:3

Heat 1464.23 s3:3

Heat 1563.43 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Clear; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 24 → 22 °C; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Wind: 12 km/h E; gusts up to 19 km/h; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 33 %; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	16	8	+8	−8
5–7	8	9	−1	+1
8–10	7	11	−4	+4
11–13	10	8	+2	−2
14–15	4	8	−4	+4
	ZIE	CZE	ZIE	CZE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead ZIE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+8	93 %
5	+8	94 %
6	+7	95 %
7	+7	95 %
8	+3	83 %
9	+3	88 %
10	+3	84 %
11	+5	92 %
12	+5	92 %
13	+5	96 %
14	+5	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Norbert Krakowiak	4	2.7	7	+4.3
Michael Jepsen Jensen	5	6.8	11	+4.2
Damian Pawliczak	4	2.2	6	+3.8
Matej Zagar	5	9.2	11	+1.8
Paweł Przedpełski	5	6.4	7	+0.6
Leon Madsen	5	12.6	13	+0.4
Piotr Protasiewicz	5	6.3	6	-0.3
Martin Vaculik	5	9.5	9	-0.5
Fredrik Lindgren	5	10.7	10	-0.7
Sebastian Niedźwiedź	2	0.8	0	-0.8
Jakub Miśkowiak	2	2.5	0	-2.5
Patryk Dudek	5	9.0	6	-3.0
Michał Gruchalski	4	5.0	2	-3.0
Adrian Miedziński	4	6.3	1	-5.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 80.9461.61 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 27.3:36.3 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.40 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source