ZIE vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 1, 2019 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik3 2 3 2 111+1
- 10Martin Smolinski1 0 2 14+1
- 11Michael Jepsen Jensen1 3 3 3 313
- 12Piotr Protasiewicz0 0 2 3 05+1
- 13Patryk Dudek3 3 2 0 311
- 14Damian Pawliczak0 1 01
- 15Norbert Krakowiak1 2 03+1
- 1Tai Woffinden2 1 3 2 210+1
- 2Jakub Jamróg0 2 1 25+1
- 3Vaclav Milik2 2 0 3 07+1
- 4Max Fricke3 0 1 15
- 5Maciej Janowski1 3 1 0 16+1
- 6Maksym Drabik3 1 1 27+1
- 7Przemysław Liszka2 0 02+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Martin Smolinski · ZIE1
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · WRO3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Vaclav Milik · WRO2
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE1
- Max Fricke · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Martin Smolinski · ZIE0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Martin Smolinski · ZIE2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Vaclav Milik · WRO3
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO2*
- Martin Smolinski · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1*
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE1
- Vaclav Milik · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 22 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h N
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| ZIE | WRO | ZIE | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.1 | 13 | +3.9 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Martin Smolinski | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Maksym Drabik | 4 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.9 | 6 | -4.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.