TOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 25, 2019 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Rune Holta2 1 3 1 310
- 11Chris Holder2 1 2 3 19+1
- 12Niels Kristian Iversen0 2 13+1
- 13Jason Doyle2 W 3 2 29+1
- 14Maksymilian Bogdanowicz0 00
- 15Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński2 1 1 15+1
- 16Jack HolderW 3 1 3 3 010
- 1Martin Vaculik3 3 2 2 212
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen1 3 2 1 310
- 4Piotr Protasiewicz3 2 0 2 18+1
- 5Patryk Dudek3 2 3 0 08
- 6Norbert Krakowiak3 0 14+1
- 7Mateusz Tonder1 0 01
- 8Damian Pawliczak1 0 0 01
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Rune Holta · TOR1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Rune Holta · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 27 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h E
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | ZIE | TOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rune Holta | 5 | 6.4 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 4 | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 4 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.5 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 3 | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.2 | 8 | -2.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.