GRU vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 23, 2019 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre3 2 3 3 213+1
- 10Roman Lakhbaum2 0 0 24+2
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 3 2 18+2
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 2 1 310+1
- 13Artem Laguta2 3 3 3 314
- 14Marcin Turowski1 1 13
- 15Patryk Rolnicki0 00
- 16Kamil Wieczorek00
- 1Andreas Jonsson1 3 1 3 19+1
- 2Paweł Miesiąc0 0 2 02
- 3Grigorij Laguta3 2 1 1 29+1
- 4Dawid Lampart00
- 5Mikkel Michelsen3 3 0 28
- 6Viktor Trofymov3 1 W 04
- 7Wiktor Lampart2 1 1 04+1
- 8Robert Lambert0 2 02
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU2*
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB1
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB0
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU1
- Patryk Rolnicki · GRU0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Robert Lambert · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Patryk Rolnicki · GRU0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Marcin Turowski · GRU1
- Dawid Lampart · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Robert Lambert · LUB2
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1*
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Roman Lakhbaum · GRU2*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Marcin Turowski · GRU1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Robert Lambert · LUB0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2*
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB1
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 3 km/h E
- gusts up to 9 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GRU | LUB | GRU | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 7.9 | 13 | +5.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 6.2 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Roman Lakhbaum | 4 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 12.4 | 14 | +1.6 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Dawid Lampart | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Robert Lambert | 3 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 4 | 6.5 | 2 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.