GOR vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 23, 2019 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak3 3 3 1 212+1
- 10Peter Kildemand2 1 U 03+1
- 11Krzysztof Kasprzak2 1 1 2 39+1
- 12Anders Thomsen3 0 D 03
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 2 3 3 317
- 14Kamil Pytlewski0 0 00
- 15Rafał Karczmarz1 0 01
- 1Leon Madsen1 3 3 3 W10
- 2Paweł Przedpełski0 2 1 2 27+1
- 3Adrian Miedziński1 1 1 14+2
- 4Damian Dróżdż0 2 2 04
- 5Matej Zagar2 2 3 2 110
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak2 0 13+1
- 7Michał Gruchalski3 1 2 17+3
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Peter Kildemand · GOR2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE0
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE2*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE1
- Damian Dróżdż · CZE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Damian Dróżdż · CZE2
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE1*
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Peter Kildemand · GOR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Damian Dróżdż · CZE2
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE1
- Peter Kildemand · GORU
- Matej Zagar · CZE3
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Anders Thomsen · GORD
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE2
- Adrian Miedziński · CZE1*
- Peter Kildemand · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · CZE1
- Kamil Pytlewski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · CZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Damian Dróżdż · CZE0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · CZE2
- Michał Gruchalski · CZE1*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Matej Zagar · CZE1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 24 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h SE
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GOR | CZE | GOR | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 7.3 | 12 | +4.7 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 4 | 3.9 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 15.1 | 17 | +1.9 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Damian Dróżdż | 4 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 11.4 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Kamil Pytlewski | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Anders Thomsen | 4 | 6.6 | 3 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.