ZIE vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 11, 2019 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik2 2 3 1 2 212+3
- 10Michael Jepsen Jensen3 1 1 1 17+2
- 11Piotr Protasiewicz1 1 0 24
- 12Patryk Dudek0 3 3 3 2 314
- 13Nicki Pedersen1 2 14
- 14Norbert Krakowiak1 12+1
- 15Mateusz Tonder1 0 01
- 16Damian Pawliczak00
- 1Tai Woffinden1 0 3 3 310
- 2Jakub Jamróg0 2 2 04+1
- 3Gleb Chugunov3 W 0 2 05
- 4Max Fricke2 3 2 0 07+1
- 5Maciej Janowski2 3 1 3 110+2
- 6Maksym Drabik3 0 03
- 7Przemysław Liszka2 3 27+1
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO2*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Max Fricke · WRO2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Max Fricke · WRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO2*
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Max Fricke · WRO2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1*
- Maksym Drabik · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE1*
- Max Fricke · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1*
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Max Fricke · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 18 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 3 km/h SE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| ZIE | WRO | ZIE | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Liszka | 3 | 2.4 | 7 | +4.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 9.8 | 14 | +4.2 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 2 | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 12.2 | 12 | -0.2 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 3 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Maksym Drabik | 3 | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.