LUB vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 11, 2019 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Andreas Jonsson2 3 0 05
- 10Paweł Miesiąc1 1 3 1 28+1
- 11Dawid Lampart1 01
- 12Grigorij Laguta3 2 1 3 312+1
- 13Mikkel Michelsen2 2 2 3 09+1
- 14Viktor Trofymov2 0 2 15+2
- 15Wiktor Lampart3 1 3 2 110+2
- 1Szymon Woźniak3 3 0 0 3 110+1
- 2Peter Kildemand0 1 1 02
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak2 3 1 2 1 312+2
- 4Frederik Jakobsen0 11
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 2 3 2 214
- 6Rafał Karczmarz1 0 0 01
- 7Alan SzczotkaD 00
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1*
- Peter Kildemand · GOR0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB2*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Alan Szczotka · GORD
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Dawid Lampart · LUB1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Peter Kildemand · GOR1
- Dawid Lampart · LUB0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GOR1
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2*
- Peter Kildemand · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1*
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1*
- Alan Szczotka · GOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1*
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1*
- Peter Kildemand · GOR0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h W
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 40 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LUB | GOR | LUB | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 6 | 10.2 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 6 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 4 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Alan Szczotka | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 15.2 | 14 | -1.2 |
| Dawid Lampart | 2 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.