TOR vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 4, 2019 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder1 2 3 1 07+1
- 10Rune Holta2 3 27+1
- 11Niels Kristian Iversen3 1 2 17
- 12Norbert Kościuch0 00
- 13Jason Doyle2 2 2 2 3 213+1
- 14Maksymilian Bogdanowicz1 0 01+1
- 15Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński2 0 02
- 16Jack Holder2 1 1 04+1
- 1Tai Woffinden3 3 1 3 313
- 2Jakub Jamróg0 2 3 1 39+1
- 3Gleb Chugunov2 3 0 05
- 4Max Fricke1 1 13+1
- 5Maciej Janowski3 3 3 0 110
- 6Maksym Drabik3 D 2 2 18+1
- 7Przemysław Liszka0 1 01
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · WRO3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR1*
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Max Fricke · WRO1*
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR0
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Maksym Drabik · WROD
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Rune Holta · TOR2*
- Max Fricke · WRO1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1*
- Przemysław Liszka · WRO0
- Rune Holta · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2*
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR1
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · WRO2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Jakub Jamróg · WRO3
- Rune Holta · TOR2
- Maksym Drabik · WRO1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.4 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 85 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TOR | WRO | TOR | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rune Holta | 3 | 3.1 | 7 | +3.9 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 10.3 | 13 | +2.7 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 10.9 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.0 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Przemysław Liszka | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Max Fricke | 3 | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.