GRU vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 2, 2019 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre1 2 0 2 38+2
- 10Antonio Lindbäck2 D 1 2 05
- 11Przemysław PawlickiD 0 22
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 1 3 111+1
- 13Artem Laguta3 3 2 3 1 214
- 14Marcin Turowski1 0 01
- 15Patryk Rolnicki3 0 03
- 1Martin Vaculik3 1 1 3 311+1
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen0 2 3 3 08
- 3Piotr Protasiewicz2 1 3 W6+1
- 4Patryk Dudek1 2 2 1 28+1
- 5Nicki Pedersen2 3 2 W 18+1
- 6Norbert Krakowiak0 11
- 7Damian Pawliczak1 01+1
- 8Mateusz Tonder2 13
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Patryk Rolnicki · GRU3
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE2
- Marcin Turowski · GRU1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRUD
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE1*
- Patryk Rolnicki · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRUD
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE1
- Patryk Rolnicki · GRU0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GRU | ZIE | GRU | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 5.2 | 11 | +5.8 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 12.9 | 14 | +1.1 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 2 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 2 | 1.0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 11.0 | 11 | -0.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.6 | 8 | -2.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 3 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.