ZIE vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 28, 2019 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 57 : 33 GOR
ZIE
GOR

Heat by heat

Heat 161.69 s5:1
Heat 261.59 s3:3
Heat 361.15 s5:1
Heat 461.13 s3:3
Heat 561.68 s4:2
Heat 661.68 s2:4
Heat 761.00 s3:3
Heat 862.28 s3:3
Heat 961.56 s5:1
Heat 1061.03 s4:2
Heat 1162.32 s4:2
Heat 1261.16 s3:3
Heat 1361.00 s5:1
Heat 1462.03 s5:1
Heat 1561.94 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy → Cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
31 → 26 °C
Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Wind
8 km/h S
gusts up to 26 km/h
Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
51 %
Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4168+8−8
5–79900
8–10126+6−6
11–13126+6−6
14–1584+4−4
ZIEGORZIEGOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead ZIE
5101520115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2+486 %
3+894 %
4+893 %
5+1096 %
6+895 %
7+895 %
8+894 %
9+1299 %
10+1499 %
11+16100 %
12+16100 %
13+20100 %
14+24100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Piotr Protasiewicz57.711+3.3
Patryk Dudek58.712+3.3
Michael Jepsen Jensen58.111+2.9
Norbert Krakowiak32.85+2.2
Martin Vaculik59.611+1.4
Bartosz Zmarzlik614.515+0.5
Mateusz Bartkowiak32.42-0.4
Nicki Pedersen36.15-1.1
Damian Pawliczak43.22-1.2
Rafał Karczmarz54.63-1.6
Szymon Woźniak57.35-2.3
Krzysztof Kasprzak68.36-2.3
Peter Kildemand56.92-4.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.3261.00 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 32.0:36.0 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −3.07 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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