TOR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 28, 2019 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 10Chris Holder1 2 1 3 310
- 11Niels Kristian Iversen2 2 2 3 09
- 12Norbert Kościuch1 0 1 02+2
- 13Jason Doyle2 2 3 2 2 314+2
- 14Maksymilian Bogdanowicz0 00
- 15Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński3 1 0 04+1
- 16Jack Holder0 1 3 15+1
- 1Kenneth Bjerre2 1 1 2 06+2
- 2Antonio Lindbäck3 3 2 0 19
- 3Krzysztof Buczkowski0 1 0 12
- 4Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 2 3 213
- 5Artem Laguta3 3 3 2 112+2
- 6Marcin Turowski2 0 13+1
- 7Kamil Wieczorek1 0 01+1
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR3
- Marcin Turowski · GRU2
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR2
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR1*
- Kamil Wieczorek · GRU0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Marcin Turowski · GRU1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · TOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2*
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Norbert Kościuch · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jason Doyle · TOR2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GRU1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Jason Doyle · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Artem Laguta · GRU1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 13 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h NE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | GRU | TOR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.8 | 13 | +5.2 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 4 | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 12.8 | 14 | +1.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 11.4 | 12 | +0.6 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Kamil Wieczorek | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.9 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 5.9 | 2 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.