LUB vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 30, 2019 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Andreas Jonsson1 1 02+1
- 10Paweł Miesiąc0 2 2 3 07
- 11Grigorij Laguta2 1 3 2 210
- 12Dawid Lampart0 00
- 13Mikkel Michelsen1 2 0 2 27+1
- 14Viktor Trofymov3 0 14+1
- 15Wiktor Lampart2 3 3 1 09+1
- 16Robert Lambert2 02+1
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 1 3 19+3
- 2Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 1 110
- 3Piotr Protasiewicz1 1 1 03
- 4Martin Vaculik3 3 3 2 314+1
- 5Patryk Dudek2 3 1 3 312
- 6Norbert Krakowiak1 0 01
- 7Damian Pawliczak0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2*
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB1
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB0
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Dawid Lampart · LUB0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Dawid Lampart · LUB0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · LUB2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2*
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Robert Lambert · LUB0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE1
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 31 → 25 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h W
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LUB | ZIE | LUB | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.9 | 14 | +4.1 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 5.8 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 5 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Robert Lambert | 2 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Dawid Lampart | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 3 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 3 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.9 | 7 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.